The Defiant·The Defiant Team·1h ago

Election Market Odds vs. Polls: What a 70% Chance Means

The last trade can differ from the price available now, while a favorite losing is only one observation—not a verdict on a forecast’s reliability.

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💬 Discussion: Election Market Odds vs. Polls: What a 70% Chance Means The last trade can differ from the price available now, while a favorite losing is only one observation—not a verdict on a forecast’s reliability.

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